Are FCS vs. Power Four upsets extinct? The college football landscape is evolving, and the gap between the FBS and FCS is widening. Power conference teams have dominated FCS opponents, winning 125 straight games. The last FCS upset occurred in 2023, leaving fans wondering if this trend will continue. In my opinion, the transfer portal and NIL have significantly contributed to this shift, making it increasingly difficult for FCS programs to retain their top talent. As a result, the FCS is struggling to compete with the FBS, and the annual upset seems like a distant memory. However, I believe there are still opportunities for FCS teams to make a statement. One game that stands out is No. 3 South Dakota State at Northwestern. South Dakota State, led by quarterback Chase Mason, has the talent to challenge Northwestern, who has a history of FCS upsets. The Jackrabbits' recent success and Mason's return make this a compelling matchup. Another intriguing game is No. 9 Youngstown State at Kentucky. The Penguins, led by Walter Payton Award winner Beau Brungard, have the potential to cause an upset. Kentucky, despite its recent success, may face challenges in adjusting to a new coaching staff. North Dakota at Nebraska is another game to watch. The Fighting Hawks, with dual-threat quarterback Jerry Kaminski, nearly pulled off an upset at Kansas State in 2025. Nebraska, under new leadership, will need to be cautious. Tennessee Tech at Mississippi State presents an interesting scenario. Mississippi State, with a tough schedule, could be vulnerable if things don't go well. Tennessee Tech, led by coach Bobby Wilder, has a strong transfer class and could make a statement. Austin Peay at Vanderbilt is a game to keep an eye on. Austin Peay, with quarterback Chris Parson, has the talent to cause problems for Vanderbilt, who is adjusting to life without quarterback Diego Pavia. Finally, Monmouth at West Virginia is a game with high stakes. Monmouth, with its recent success against Group of Six teams, will face a challenging task against West Virginia, who has a new roster under Rich Rodriguez. In conclusion, while the FCS may be struggling to compete with the FBS, there are still opportunities for upsets. The 2026 season could bring exciting moments and potentially end the drought. As a fan, I am eager to see if FCS teams can make a statement and prove that the gap is not as wide as it seems. The future of college football is uncertain, but the potential for upsets remains, keeping fans engaged and excited.
